Weekly News Review August 25 – August 31 2025
August 31, 2025
Dysprosium, one of the most important heavy rare earths, is proving its strategic value once again. In 2025 alone, prices have soared from $353/kg in January to $780/kg by September — a remarkable +121% year-to-date gain.
What’s driving this surge? And what does it mean for investors? Let’s break it down.
Why Are Dysprosium Prices Rising?
China’s Export Restrictions
In April 2025, Beijing introduced new export controls on heavy rare earths, including dysprosium. Exporters needed special licenses and quotas, causing immediate supply disruption. Within weeks, European dysprosium oxide prices nearly tripled.
Although restrictions were later eased through a temporary suspension and a limited “green channel” for U.S. firms, the episode underscored just how powerful China’s dominance remains.
Growing Demand in Green Tech
Dysprosium is indispensable to:
- Electric vehicles – high-performance magnets in EV motors
- Wind turbines – magnets that withstand high temperatures
- Nuclear reactors – shielding and control applications
Analysts expect magnet demand to grow ~5% annually in 2025, driven by EVs and renewables.
Limited Alternative Supply
While Lynas Rare Earths has become the first producer of heavy rare earths outside China, building fully diversified supply chains will take years. The U.S. is also exploring a $2B CHIPS Act allocation to boost domestic production, but today’s market remains tight.
Price Forecast Outlook
According to Argus Media forecasts, dysprosium could follow two main paths over the next decade (see graphic in our forecast page:
- Base Case: ~$1,100/kg by 2034 (+340% from today)
- Premium Case: ~$1,400/kg by 2034 (+450%)
Even with short-term volatility, the long-term trajectory is firmly upward.
What It Means for Investors
Dysprosium is more than a commodity — it’s a strategic lever in geopolitics and the green transition.
- Early investors in 2025 have already seen gains of +121%.
- Ongoing shortages highlight both the risks and opportunities in rare earth investing.
At Strategic Metals Invest, new dysprosium sales are temporarily paused. However, we are offering existing clients a $780/kg buyback option — locking in extraordinary returns from the $353/kg January price.
Conclusion
Dysprosium’s performance this year is proof of how rare earths can deliver when demand collides with supply risks. With China’s policies in flux and green tech demand accelerating, this market remains one to watch closely.
